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Wednesday, June 21, 2017

[CUTS-TradeForum] As India’s Economic Indicators Slump, FDI Inflows Have Never Looked Better. Why?

From: CUTS International

As India’s Economic Indicators Slump, FDI Inflows Have Never Looked Better. Why?
Nilanjan Banik & Khanindra Chandra Das
The Wire
June 20, 2017

Data reveals that a substantial portion of India’s FDI inflows comes from foreign investors claiming bigger stakes in Indian start-ups and brownfield ventures across various sectors. What does this mean for job creation?

A potential candidate, interviewing for a position on the faculty of economics at a prominent university, was recently asked a curious question. With India’s GDP growth, gross fixed capital formation and index of industrial production (IIP) all having slumped of late, why has our country remained a sweet spot for foreign direct investment (FDI)?

After all, basic macroeconomics tell us that if GDP growth is slowing down, a lesser number of jobs will be created, which will, in turn, be followed by a slowdown in demand. GDP growth in January-March 2016-17 was 6.1% (lower than the provisional figure of 7%) and the fall in gross value added growth was even sharper at 5.6%. The consequent fall in demand is seen to a certain extent in our IIP numbers (a metric by which factory output is measured), which slowed down to 3.1% in April 2017 from 6.5% last year. All the constituents of IIP – manufacturing, mining and power – slowed down.

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